| The horizon is crowded with new rail track openings that will treble the size of Europe’s high-speed network to over 15,000 km by 2020, dramatically cutting journey times (see below) and reshaping the likely contours of aviation too – not least because railway travel is fair set to restore a slither of much-needed comfort and punctuality to a sector battered by terrorism woes and airport security delays. This special report doesn’t assume that we’ll all stop flying, but it does suggest that on numerous short-haul routes currently served by budget airlines the railways will gradually take over, assuming they can compete on price. The classic example in this regard is France’s inaugural TGV line between Paris and Lyon. Opened in 1981, it forestalled the ballooning of aviation on that particular route with an environmental benefit that wasn’t even acknowledged at the time – low-carbon electrification based on low-carbon nuclear energy. Whether or not the French model sketches a wider European future, particularly in central and eastern Europe and the UK, where high-speed railway has only just begun, remains unclear. But it is an intriguing possibility that coincidentally offers a level of comfort that airports and airlines can only dream of. There are limits to this, of course. Although there will (we estimate) be a return to “slow travel” and even scheduled, transatlantic shipping lines – UK entrepreneur Mark Creasy has just launched a 12-week, one-way bus journey from London to Sydney that wends its way through 20 countries and is claimed to be 50 times more environmentally friendly than flying on a Boeing 747 – business travelers will certainly not stop flying between Europe, the US, Asia and Latin America. Other unknowns include to what degree Railteam, a marketing consortium of nine high-speed train operators formed earlier this year, will be able to overcome the traditional need to buy several tickets when covering several national borders, invariably adding up to a hefty premium over a cheap flight. The group has already said that on some routes EU competition laws will prevent it from offering common fares, a classic illustration of the unintended consequences of EU legislation. One woman’s collusion is another man’s fair deal, apparently. Richard Brown, Eurostar chief executive, insists that railways are free to strike bilateral fare agreements. This is exactly the sort of confusion that airlines have never faced – but it is imperative that France’s SNCF, Germany’s Deutsche Bahn, Belgium’s SNCB, the Netherlands’ NS, Austria’s ÖBB and Switzerland’s SBB sort out their collective act. Promisingly, Eurostar is already an exemplar of joint venturedom, being a collaboration of England, France and Belgium, while Thalys is a Franco-Belgian-Dutch-German affair and TGV Lyria is Swiss-French. Take a liberal dosage of marketing nous, mix with a decent fare structure and serve up with on-board broadband connections, and it’s not difficult to glimpse the potential future of rail in Europe. EB European developments: The new shape of rail travel Paris–Strasbourg 2h 20m, and 1h 50m in 2008 Paris–Frankfurt 3h 50m Paris–Geneva 3h from mid-2009 Brussels–Amsterdam 2h 41m, with plans to reduce to 2h Basel–Milan 4h 26m, reducing to 3h 26m this year Barcelona–Madrid 4h 30m; 2h 30m from end of 2007 Madrid–Seville 2h 30m Milan–Naples High-speed network complete in 2010 Channel Tunnel New UK base and higher-speed links from November, open to other operators from 2010 A selection of journeys ranging from the diabolical to the divine Pure Heaven TRAIN: Deutsche Bahn ICE Berlin to Munich The scheduled service did what it said it would on the tin: six hours on the dot with one change in Nuremburg, travelling on Deutsche Bahn’s ICE high-speed inter-city service. Berlin’s new Hauptbahnhof is a delight, albeit huge – but the undoubted highlight is the trains themselves, which are sculpted into airy, relaxing spaces with clean upholstery and palatable catering. The service doesn’t beat the flight time of one hour, five minutes between the same cities, but it’s better if you want to get your head down and work. The carriages have T-Mobile Wi-Fi hotspots that can be accessed even when the trains are thundering along at 300 km/h. Journey time: six hours, 30 minutes, versus one hour, five minutes by air. |